Comparison of military strength of India and Pakistan: Who will win? And, What?

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Recently Pakistan aided Jaish-e-Mohammad terrorist named ‘Kamal’ killed more than 40 people in a terrorist attack, rammed a vehicle loaded with explosives into a CRPF convoy in Jammu and Kashmir's Pulwama. The attack was second biggest terrorist attack in Indian of all the time. There has also been constant ceasefire violation by Pakistan on the border between the two countries which give spark to war between India and Pakistan.

Here is an analysis of military strength of both the nuclear country. Who will win with what difference if one or both of the countries sees nothing but war is the only option.

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In a war, role played by allies becomes even more important than capable military strength of the country

Allies: With the rise of India's economic, political and commercial status, they are way better positioned with their Allies. Pakistan has historically had US and China support them in all three wars fought in 1965, 1971 and 1999. But with the dynamics of US-Pak relations changing drastically after the killing of OBL, clubbed with India strategic partnerships with US in the last five years, I think US will most likely either take a neutral stand or try to get the UN involved to arbitrate. On the other hand, India can always expect support from Russia, France (Raffale) and Israel in getting appropriate weapons and intel to combat the enemy. Also, India will have a strategic geographic advantage of having an Ally in Afghanistan on the other side of the Pakistan border.


Nuclear weapons:

Both sides possess nukes and this means two things:

  • There will not be a nuclear attack by either side, just to try to turn the tide of war into their favor.
  • If one side is on the brink of losing the war (most probably Pakistan), they will make use of the nuclear option.

Therefore, a possible conflict between India and Pakistan will most likely result in a border conflict where no side will gain a decisive advantage, but it won’t be a battle of annihilation. A good example is the Iran-Iraq war that dragged on for years and didn’t have a clear winner-or loser.

Although India would have an enormous advantage on the outbreak of the war, due to their bigger military strength, I don’t think that they have the necessary punch to quickly defeat their neighbor.

War has its own rules and statistics about troop strengths can be deceiving.

In the end, a war between Pakistan and India would cause a lot of destruction to both countries and is unwinnable.

Thankfully, politicians and military leaders on both sides are aware of the complete futility of such an adventure and, aside from some ostentatious display of military power, will refrain from escalating the situation.